Which of your holdings did the storm hit? Building by building.

Physical risk for listed real estate in the Netherlands and Germany, from observed events.

Friederike, 18 January 2018
  • Damaging area17,130 cells
  • Peak band32.3 m/s and above
  • Insured loss, NLEUR 436m
  • Error vs 287 stations3.5 m/s
Copernicus C3S, CC-BY-4.0. Loss: KNMI citing Verbond van Verzekeraars.

Per event. Per company. Per building. Reproducible from a run id.

  1. 01Company exposureShare of portfolio value scored 5 or higher, per event.
  2. 02Building listEvery asset, its score, and the report page it came from.
  3. 03Your portfolioUpload addresses and values. Get scores back.
  4. 04Market checkAbnormal returns and the next four earnings reports.

Checked against 571 station readings. Errors shown.

EventCellsStationsRMSE m/sBias m/s
Friederike, 201817,1302873.5+0.6
Ciara / Sabine, 202021,4202844.4+2.1

Sabine runs about 4.5 m/s high in NL. Its loss check will too.

One score, 0 to 10. Calibrated to insured losses.

  • Below 20 m/s0
  • 20 to 25 m/s1 to 2
  • 25 to 30 m/s3 to 4
  • 30 to 35 m/s5 to 6
  • 35 to 40 m/s7 to 8
  • Above 40 m/s9 to 10

Fit: Friederike NL, EUR 436m. Test: Sabine DE, EUR 675m.

12 listed landlords. 10 events. 2016 to 2024. One control.

Prototype. Events and wind footprints are live. Assets and scores are next.